Muslim Travel Intent Tracker (MTIT) - December 2023

By Halal Trip | 18, Dec, 2023
Muslim Travel Intent Tracker (MTIT) - December 2023

As 2023 ends, MTIT December serves as the final chapter of a dynamic year of Muslim-friendly travel in 2023. December serves as both a culmination of travel intent for the year and a window into Muslim consumers' evolving desires and preferences in the travel landscape. Throughout 2023, we've witnessed travel intent ebb and flow, responding to seasonal shifts and external factors, highlighting the adaptability of travelers in a changing world. This analysis delves into the intricate tapestry of MTIT December 2023, offering invaluable insights into the future of Muslim-friendly travel.

You can read the Muslim Travel Intent Tracker (MTIT) reports for the other months here.

 

Analyzing the MTIT Score for December 2023

The MTIT score for December 2023 stands at 79.2, showcasing a notable increase compared to the previous month, November 2023, when the score was 77.1. This uptick signifies a growing travel intent among Muslim consumers entering the holiday season. Furthermore, when examining the trend in the last four months, from September 2023 to December 2023, it becomes evident that the MTIT score has been on a generally upward trajectory. This suggests a consistent improvement in travel intent over the recent months, with December witnessing a significant boost as travelers actively plan for year-end festivities.

Growing Confidence in Year-End Travel

Comparing the MTIT score for December 2023 with the same month in the previous year, December 2021, reveals a notable shift. In December 2021, the score was 77.7, slightly lower than 79.2 in December 2023. This signifies a year-over-year improvement in travel intent, reflecting greater confidence among Muslim consumers in planning their end-of-year journeys. Throughout the year, there have been fluctuations in travel intent, with the lowest point observed in February 2023 at 71.2, followed by a steady upward trend. Overall, the MTIT trends in 2023 have displayed resilience and adaptability in the face of evolving travel conditions and uncertainties, culminating in a robust December score.

Resilience Amid Seasonal Fluctuations and External Factors

The MTIT trends in 2023 have been characterized by seasonal fluctuations and evolving external factors. The year began with cautious optimism, with a score of 71.2 in February, followed by fluctuations during the early months. As the year progressed, factors such as improved travel conditions and vaccination efforts were pivotal in boosting travel intent. Peaks were observed in July and August 2023, coinciding with the summer vacation. September and October saw a minor dip before December's surge. However, it's important to note that the end-year score in December 2023, while strong, may not reach the same heights as the summer vacation season due to factors like the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, which can influence travel decisions during this period. Nonetheless, with a score of 79.2, December 2023 signals an intense desire among Muslim consumers to embark on meaningful journeys.

Looking Ahead for 2024

As we look forward to 2024, the MTIT trends are expected to reflect the adaptability and resilience observed throughout 2023. Travelers may begin the year cautiously optimistic, considering factors such as vaccination efforts and evolving travel conditions. However, the ongoing conflict in Palestine may introduce fluctuations in travel intent, particularly during periods of heightened tension, as travelers weigh geopolitical considerations in their trip planning. Despite external factors, we hope for a future of lasting peace, where Muslim travelers can explore the world without such influences, and the Muslim travel industry continues to thrive, offering diverse experiences and cherished memories.

 

Intent to Travel "This Month" Trends

In December 2023, the intent to travel within the current month stands at 53.6%, showcasing a gradual increase compared to the last three months. This upward trend indicates a growing inclination among Muslim consumers to embark on immediate journeys as they embrace the festive season. However, compared to December 2021, which recorded an intent of 62.2%, there is a slight decrease in travel intent for the same period. Factors affecting this variance may include evolving travel conditions, external influences, and considerations related to year-end festivities. Additionally, it's noteworthy that in December 2023, Muslims are also demonstrating a heightened sense of solidarity with Palestinians, allocating a portion of their income for humanitarian aid to support those affected by the ongoing conflict, which may have contributed to a slight shift in travel priorities. Nonetheless, the percentage in December 2023 reflects a strong desire among travelers to partake in immediate travel experiences during a time filled with celebrations, cultural observances, and humanitarian outreach.

 

Analyzing Relative Travel Intent by Month

There are no significant changes to the radar chart based on historical data from MTIT to compare travel intent across each month. The chart shows each month's travel intent relative to December, which has the highest intent.

 

Traveling in the Next 1-3 Months (January to March 2024)

In December 2023, the intent to travel within 1-3 months stood at 18.7%, showcasing a slight decrease compared to the preceding three months, which had witnessed a steady upward trend. However, when comparing this figure to the same period in December 2021, where the score was significantly lower at 13.3%, it indicates substantial growth in travel intent over the two years.

Key Observations:

  • Year-over-Year Improvement: The most significant observation is the year-over-year travel intent improvement within 1-3 months. December 2023 exhibited a markedly higher score than December 2021, suggesting a growing willingness among Muslim consumers to engage in immediate travel experiences.

Strategic Takeaways:

  • Target Immediate Travelers: While there was a slight dip in December compared to the previous months of 2023, businesses should recognize the overall upward trend in travel intent within this timeframe. They can target travelers interested in immediate trips by offering promotions, early booking discounts, and flexible travel arrangements.
  • Leverage Seasonal Peaks: Despite the dip, December remains a peak for immediate travel planning. Companies in the travel industry should capitalize on this by providing tailored year-end promotions, holiday packages, and experiences to cater to the festive season.
  • Year-Round Engagement: Maintaining consistent engagement with potential travelers throughout the year is essential. Travel businesses can ensure a steady flow of bookings and revenue by cultivating relationships and staying connected with customers during both high and low-intent months.

 

Traveling in the Next 4-6 Months (April to June 2024)

In December 2023, the intent to travel within 4-6 months registered at 13.8%, marking a modest increase compared to the preceding three months, which had experienced a gradual decline in travel intent within this timeframe. Comparing this figure to the same period in December 2021, where the score was 9.9%, demonstrates a notable growth in travel intent over the two years.

Factors Affecting the Increase:

  • Economic Factors: Favorable economic conditions, increased savings, or year-end bonuses may give individuals the confidence to plan medium-term trips.
  • Early Booking Discounts: Many travel companies offer early booking discounts and promotions during the holiday season. Travelers looking to secure cost-effective travel options for the 4-6 months may take advantage of these offers.
  • Family and School Schedules: Families with school-aged children may plan spring or early summer trips to coincide with school breaks. Additionally, individuals may coordinate vacations with the schedules of family members or travel companions.
  • Festival Season: Spring and early summer often bring a variety of festivals, events, and cultural celebrations to many destinations. Travelers interested in attending these events may plan trips accordingly.

 

MTIT Destination Preferencemtit countries and destination preferences dec

Among the top preferred destinations in the MTIT December 2023 survey, Spain emerged as the top choice, followed by Saudi Arabia, the USA, and Japan. Spain, as the leading choice, offers a blend of rich cultural heritage, picturesque landscapes, and Mediterranean allure, making it an attractive year-round destination. Saudi Arabia, known for its religious significance and year-round pilgrimage opportunities, draws travelers seeking spiritual journeys. The USA's vastness provides a diverse range of experiences, from vibrant cities to natural wonders, catering to various interests. Japan, with its unique fusion of tradition and modernity, entices travelers looking for cultural immersion and natural beauty. The December timeframe aligns with the holiday season, making these destinations ideal for festive celebrations, family gatherings, and cultural exploration, solidifying their prominence in the survey results.

 

Conclusion

As we close the chapter on MTIT December 2023, it serves as a fitting conclusion to a year filled with insights into the evolving travel preferences of Muslim consumers. Throughout 2023, the MTIT score journeyed through seasonal fluctuations and external factors, demonstrating resilience and adaptability. The year began with cautious optimism, leading to peaks during the summer vacation season. However, December 2023, with a score of 79.2, reveals a strong desire among Muslim travelers to celebrate the festive season and embark on meaningful journeys. Looking ahead to 2024, factors such as the ongoing conflict in the Middle East may influence travel intent, reminding us of the importance of empathy and solidarity. As we step into the new year, we anticipate further trends and changes in the world of Muslim-friendly travel, and we remain hopeful for a future where travel thrives, bringing joy and enrichment to all.

 

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